Tuesday, January 31, 2012

Romney win in Florida does not put nails in anyone's coffin

Florida Primary, with 95% of the vote in, is as follows:

Romney 46%
Gingrich 32%
Santorum 13%
Paul 7%

Looking at the map, one will notice that, as in the other states, Romney won the population centers (which tend to lean liberal), and Gingrich won the more rural counties (which tend to be more conservative). This suggests that Newt will do well in rural America. . . but first Romney will pick up most of the next few states (like Nevada and Michigan).

Before folks start counting anyone out, including Santorum, remember, there are a lot of delegates still up for grabs. This is only four states.

Also, because Romney is so moderate, if he wins the nomination, he will probably lose the conservative vote in the general election, which would put Obama into position to win in November. That is very dangerous, because Obama would be a lame duck president, and you can't imagine how radical he'll be in his second term should he be re-elected.

Gingrich's lack of money compared to Romney, and not even being on the ballot in Missouri, will make it an uphill battle for Newt, but it is not over.

Santorum may still have an opportunity as well.

-- Political Pistachio Conservative News and Commentary

Florida Primary 2012 - Fox News

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