Monday, July 02, 2012

Eminent War in the Middle East

By Douglas V. Gibbs

With the rise in technology, Israel has discovered that the tiny Jewish nation sits atop a vast sea of oil. In the past the fear of Islamic backlash held back oil exploration, but now it has been discovered that Israel may be sitting upon 250 billion barrels of oil, placing them in league with countries like Saudi Arabia.

The new oil riches of Israel makes the nation an even tastier target for her neighbors, who have already determined that they wish to push the Jews over the edge of the land and into the ocean.

Regardless of Israel's new found oil riches, the radical Islamic Republic of Iran, fueled by a religious fervor that believes they must create chaos in the world to bring the promise of a new Islamic caliphate into existence, says that war is inevitable, and Iran will win it.  Allah will assure victory.

Sanctions against Iran's nuclear ambitions, according to the Islamic nation's leaders, has only helped Iran in its progress toward being ready for that war.  Iran claims once hostilities begin, they have over a thousand ballistic missiles capable of reaching every U.S. target in the Middle East, as well as to annihilate Israel.

Meanwhile, south of Iran, the battle for Syria is reaching levels beyond what was seen in the "Arab Spring" in Tunisia, Libya and Egypt. As President Assad brutally massacres those that dare to stand against him, the desire to unseat him, and replace him with a radical group like the Muslim Brotherhood, becomes more and more of a reality. Assad is fine with war, declaring that his country is now deep into a civil war and he has now ordered his government to spare no effort to achieve victory, as the worst fighting of the 16-month conflict reaches the outskirts of the capital.

The United Nations reports that Syrian forces have killed more than 10,000 people during the conflict, which began with a popular uprising (no doubt supported by radical Islamist groups) and has built up into an armed insurgency against four decades of rule by Assad and his father.

Historically, Iran and Syria have worked together. If Syria moves in a more Islamist direction, an alliance between the two may be inevitable.

Within a year or two it seems more likely than not that we will see the outbreak of a significant war in the Middle East. In the case of this war, though, it goes beyond the historical aims of territorial gain. There is no shortage of territorial disputes, but the conflict also touches on cultural and religious differences fueled by a hatred by Islam of Judaism, Christianity, and all other non-Muslims, for that matter.

Territory and a drive for control over oil-rich lands, combined with a fascist ideology fueled by religious fervor and extremism can only result in conflict.

Turkey versus Israel, Turkey versus Syria, Egypt versus Israel, Iran versus Israel, and Saudi Arabia and some of the Gulf States versus Iran and whoever Iran can pull into their own alliance.

The recipe for war is apparent in each of the friction points amidst heightened tensions throughout the region.

Nuclear ambitions in the region, from Pakistan's realized capabilities, Iraq's shortened search for nuclear weapons, and Iran's current full-throttle drive for nuclear capabilities, poses not only a threat to the nations of the region, but to Europe, and the United States.  With Iran, the limit to their nuclear expansion may only be reached when a preventative attack is launched on Iran, be it by Israel, or another power capable of stopping them.  But how would such a move by Israel affect the region, when one considers that Iran is not the only country wishing to destroy Israel? Would an attack launched by the Jewish nation do more than just remind everybody of the unrest in the region because of the Palestinian threat, and the Islamic hate of the Jews? Would an attack launched by Israel give the various Islamic sects a reason to join together and respond in a concerted effort?

Another key in the area is in regards to the Palestinian bid for statehood, after refusing a two-state offer many times before. Netanyahu has stood firm against the Palestinian terror attacks, refused to halt construction on the West Bank and Jerusalem, and refused to allow even President Obama's political weakness to pull down Israel.

Which returns us to Syria.  President Assad has refused to fully join Turkey or Iran, and has refused to allow an uprising that could bring the Muslim Brotherhood into power in his country. However, his methods have been through brute force, and the massacre of civilians.  The world stage has stacked against him, including Turkey who has threatened to levy sanctions against Syria. Is it possible that Syria's Assad might instigate trouble on his borders with Israel in a desperate move to rally support for his embattled regime?


Meanwhile, Egypt’s long treaty with Israel seems to be reaching its end as the Muslim Brotherhood, once outlawed in Egypt, solidifies its position in the leadership of the North African nation. The protests and demand for change continues, and change is happening - towards Islamism fully equipped with Shariah and hate for Israel and The West. How long before Egypt takes aim on Israel as well?

Recently, the Israeli embassy was stormed in Cairo. The Egyptian security forces looked the other way.

Jordan has lived in peace with Israel for decades. King Abdullah has been a longtime ally and friend of Israel. Protests in his country are rising as well, and the problems reached a point where he wound up firing his government.  Jordan's large Palestinian population is demanding change, for Jordan to cease to be a peacemaker, and join the Islamic Arab Spring towards madness, and enmity towards Israel.
Lebanon is no longer the home to a Christian majority, and Turkey's secular government has given way to an Islamist system demanding Shariah.

The direction of the Middle East is on an extreme path, fueled by a volatile mix of revolution and Islamic hatred - and Israel is surrounded by all of it.
One spark, and the entire region may light up into something that may change the world forever.
-- Political Pistachio Conservative News and Commentary

Tensions Boil as Israeli Oil Riches Grow - The Omega Letter

Iran: There will be war, and we'll win - World Net Daily

Assad Says Syria at War as Battle Reaches Capital - Yahoo! News

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