2014 U.S. Senate Scoreboard (9/7/14)

by JASmius



It's after Labor Day, the general election season has definitionally begun, so here we go again....

(Incumbents in bold; all polling via Rasmussen Reports)

SAFE REPUBLICAN

ALABAMA:  Jeff Sessions (R) - unopposed
IDAHO:  James Risch (R) 54%, Nels Mitchell (D) 29%
MAINE:  Susan Collins (R) 60%, Shenna Bellows (D) 24%
MISSISSIPPI:  Thad Cochran (R) 48%, Travis Childers (D) 31%
MONTANA:  Steve Daines (R) 55%, Amanda Curtis (D) 35% (GOP pickup)

NEBRASKA:  Ben Sasse (R) 51%, David Domina (D) 34%
OKLAHOMA:  James Inhofe (R) 58%, Matt Silverstein (D) 27%
SOUTH CAROLINA:  Lindsey Graham (R) 49%, Brad Hutto (D) 30%
SOUTH DAKOTA:  Mike Rounds (R) 44%, Rick Weiland (D) 29%, Larry Pressler (RINO) 18% (GOP pickup)

TEXAS:  John Cornyn (R) 47%, David Alameel (D) 29%
TENNESSEE:  Lamar Alexander (R) 47%, Gordon Ball (D) 32%
WEST VIRGINIA:  Shelly Moore Capito (R) 50%, Natalie Tennant (D) 33% (GOP pickup)

WYOMING:  Mike Enzi (R) 63%, Charlie Hardy (D) 27%


SOLID REPUBLICAN

GEORGIA:  David Perdue (R) 46%, Michelle Nunn (D) 40%
KENTUCKY:  Mitch McConnell (R) 46%, Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 40%
NORTH CAROLINA:  Tom Tillis (R) 45%, Kay Hagen (D) 40% (GOP pickup)


LEANING REPUBLICAN

ALASKA:  Dan Sullivan (R) 47%, Mark Begich (D) 45% (GOP pickup) KANSAS:  Pat Roberts (R) 44%, Chad Taylor (D) 40%
LOUISIANA:  Bill Cassidy (R) 44%, Mary Landrieu (D) 41% (GOP pickup)


TOSS-UP

IOWA:  Bruce Braley (D) 43%, Joni Ernst (R) 43%


LEANING DEMOCRAT

ARKANSAS:  Mark Pryor (D) 44%, Tom Cotton (R) 43%
COLORADO:  Mark Udall (D) 44%, Cory Gardner (R) 42%


SOLID DEMOCRAT

MICHIGAN:  Gary Peters (D) 45%, Terri Lynn Land (R) 39%
MINNESOTA:  Al Franken (D) 50%, Mike McFadden (R) 42%


SAFE DEMOCRAT

DELAWARE:  Chris Coons (D) - no polling, prohibitive favorite
HAWAII:  Brian Schatz (D) - no polling, prohibitive favorite
ILLINOIS:  Ali Dickbar al-Durbini (D) 48%, Jim Oberweis (R) 38%
MASSACHUSETTS:  Ed Markey (D) - no polling, prohibitive favorite
NEW HAMPSHIRE:  Jeanne Shaheen (D) 50%, Scott Brown (R) 41%
NEW JERSEY:  Corey Booker (D) 48%, Jeff Bell (R) 35%
NEW MEXICO:  Tom Udall (D) 54%, Allen Weh (R) 33%
OREGON: Jeff Merkley (D) 48%, Monica Wehby (R) 35%
RHODE ISLAND:  Jack Reed (D) - no polling, prohibitive favorite
VIRGINIA:  Mark Warner (D) 53%, Ed Gillespie (R) 36%


HIGH:  GOP picks up Montana, South Dakota, West Virginia, North Carolina, Alaska, Louisiana, Iowa, Arkansas, and Colorado for a gain of nine seats and a 54-46 majority in the next U.S. Senate.

MEDIAN:  GOP picks up Montana, South Dakota, West Virginia, North Carolina, Alaska, Louisiana, and maybe Iowa for a gain of six or seven seats and either a 52-48 or 51-49 majority in the next U.S. Senate.

LOW:  GOP picks up Montana, South Dakota, West Virginia, and North Carolina, but the Democrats pick up Kansas, for a net GOP gain of three seats, leaving the Democrats to retain a 52-48 majority in the next U.S. Senate.

58 days to go.....