Monday, November 05, 2012

HSRN Final Call

by JASmius

Will we need crying towels, tranquilizers, or a box of Kleenex and a pack of cigarettes twenty four hours from now?

As Allahpundit likes to say, "Here we go...."

HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES: Republicans lose 20 seats to fall to a 222-213 majority.  Would lose the House altogether if not for red state-friendly re-districting.


SENATE: by state (incumbents in CAPS)....

ARIZONA: Flake 53.5%, Carmona 46.5% (GOP hold)

CALIFORNIA: FEINSTEIN 55.9%, Emken 42.1% (Dem hold)

CONNECTICUT: Murphy 50.7%, McMahon 49.3% (Dem hold)

DELAWARE: CARPER (either unopposed or might as well be - Dem hold)

FLORIDA: NELSON 49.4%, Mack 48.6% (Dem hold)

HAWAII: Hirono 57.9%, Lingle 42.1% (Dem hold)

INDIANA: Donnelly 51.9%, Mourdock (aka Dumbass #2) 48.1% (Dem pickup)

MAINE: King 46.6%, Summers 36.2%, Dill 17.2% (Ind - which is to say, Dem - pickup)

MARYLAND: CARDIN 51.4%, Bongino 27.1%, Sobhani 19.5% (Dem hold)

MASSACHUSETTS: Warren 49.3%, BROWN 48.7% (Dem pickup)

MICHIGAN: STABENOW 52.5%, Hoekstra 45.5% (Dem hold)

MINNESOTA: KLOBUCHAR 61.2%, Bills 36.8% (Dem hold)

MISSOURI: McCASKILL 50.4%, Aiken (aka Dumbass #1) 49.6% (Dem hold)

MONTANA: Rehberg 51.9%, TESTER 46.1% (GOP pickup)

NEBRASKA: Fischer 56.2%, Kerrey 43.8% (GOP pickup)

NEVADA: HELLER 51.6%, Berkley 46.4% (GOP hold)

NEW JERSEY: MENENDEZ 54.4%, Kyrillos 43.6% (Dem hold)

NEW MEXICO: Heinrich 53.7%, Wilson 46.3% (Dem hold)

NEW YORK: GILLIBRAND 66.9%, Long 31.1% (Dem hold)

NORTH DAKOTA: Berg 55.1%, Heitkamp 44.9% (GOP pickup)

OHIO: Mandel 49.3%, BROWN 48.7% (GOP pickup)

PENNSYLVANIA: Smith 49.7%, CASEY 48.3% (GOP pickup)

RHODE ISLAND: WHITEHOUSE 57.9%, Hinkley 40.1% (Dem hold)

TENNESSEE: CORKER 66.6%, Clayton 31.4% (GOP hold)

TEXAS: Cruz 70.1%, Sadler 29.9% (GOP hold)

UTAH: HATCH 66.6%, Howell 31.4% (GOP hold)

VERMONT: SANDERS (See Carper - Ind, meaning Dem, hold)

VIRGINIA: Allen 51.0%, Kaine 49.0% (GOP pickup)

WASHINGTON: CANTWELL 56.1%, Baumgartner 41.9% (Dem hold)

WEST VIRGINIA: MANCHIN (See Carper - Dem hold, unless Manchin pulls a Jeffords later)

WISCONSIN: Thompson 50.8%, Baldwin 49.2% (GOP pickup)

WYOMING: THOMAS, all by his lonesome (GOP hold)

Republicans overcome the dumbass factor and pickup a net of 4 seats, regaining - barely - the 51-49 majority necessary to shove ObamaCare up Dirty Harry Reid's ass sideways.


And now, THE MAIN EVENT, by state....

ALABAMA (9): Romney 65.0%-34.0%

ALASKA (3): Romney 64.1%-33.2%

ARKANSAS (6): Romney 63.4%-34.2%

ARIZONA (11): Romney 58.1%-40.2%

CALIFORNIA (55): Obama 56.3%-41.7%

COLORADO (9): Romney 49.4%-49.0%

CONNECTICUT (7): Obama 55.9%-42.9%

DELAWARE (3): Obama 57.2%-41.6%

DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA (3): Obama 16,000,000,000,000%

FLORIDA (29): Romney 52.8%-46.2%

GEORGIA (16): Romney 56.9%-42.3%

HAWAII (4): Obama 67.2%-31.3%

IOWA (6): Obama 49.2%-49.1%

IDAHO (4): Romney 66.0%-31.3%

ILLINOIS (20): Obama 57.2%-41.5%

INDIANA (11): Romney 53.6%-45.2%

KANSAS (6): Romney 61.2%-36.9%

KENTUCKY (8): Romney 62.1%-36.5%

LOUISIANA (8): Romney 63.3%-35.2%

MASSACHUSETTS (11): Obama 57.1%-40.7%

MARYLAND (10): Obama 57.2%-41.2%

MAINE (4): Obama 55.2%-44.8%

MICHIGAN (16): Obama 52.7%-45.6%

MINNESOTA (10): Obama 51.5%-47.0%

MISSOURI (10): Romney 54.1%-44.6%

MISSISSIPPI (6): Romney 60.9%-38.3%

MONTANA (3): Romney 54.1%-42.5%

NORTH CAROLINA (15): Romney 54.1%-45.0%

NORTH DAKOTA (3): Romney 57.8%-39.8%

NEBRASKA (5): Romney 61.2%-36.9%

NEW HAMPSHIRE (4): Obama 49.4%-49.2%

NEW JERSEY (14): Obama 52.6%-46.4%

NEW MEXICO (5): Obama 52.2%-46.5%

NEVADA (6): Obama 50.5%-47.4%

NEW YORK (29): Obama 58.2%-40.7%

OHIO (18): Romney 51.6%-46.8%

OKLAHOMA (7): Romney 70.4%-29.7%

OREGON (7): Obama 52.1%-45.1%

PENNSYLVANIA (20): Obama 49.8%-48.9%

RHODE ISLAND (4): Obama 58.2%-39.8%

SOUTH CAROLINA (9): Romney 58.6%-40.2%

SOUTH DAKOTA (3): Romney 57.9%-40.1%

TENNESSEE (11): Romney 61.6%-37.1%

TEXAS (38): Romney 60.1%-38.9%

UTAH (6): Romney 67.0%-29.5%

VIRGINIA (13): Romney 51.0%-47.9%

VERMONT (3): Obama 62.8%-35.2%

WASHINGTON (12): Obama 53.2%-45.2%

WISCONSIN (10): Obama 49.4%-48.5%

WEST VIRGINIA (5): Romney 60.3%-37.8%

WYOMING (3): Romney 69.5%-27.8%

------------------------------------------------

Based upon a D+1.4 turnout model, the final talley (drumsticks, please):

POPULAR VOTE:  Romney 51.0%, Obama 47.6%

ELECTORAL COLLEGE: Romney 275, Obama 263

Red Barry steals Iowa, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin via massive voter fraud, but falls just short of stealing Colorado as well and, therefore, the election.  Ergo, Mitt Romney will be elected the 45th President of the United States, and America will have averted national suicide by a margin of approximately 9,500 votes.

Looks like what we'll need is Drammamine....


[cross-posted @ Hard Starboard]

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