Little, if any, change this week....
(Incumbents in bold; all polling via Rasmussen Reports)
SAFE REPUBLICAN
ALABAMA: Jeff Sessions (R) - unopposed
IDAHO: James Risch (R) 54%, Nels Mitchell (D) 29%
MAINE: Susan Collins (R) 59%, Shenna Bellows (D) 31%
MISSISSIPPI: Thad Cochran (R) 48%, Travis Childers (D) 31%
MONTANA: Steve Daines (R) 55%, Amanda Curtis (D) 35% (GOP pickup)
NEBRASKA: Ben Sasse (R) 51%, David Domina (D) 34%
OKLAHOMA: James Inhofe (R) 58%, Matt Silverstein (D) 27%
SOUTH CAROLINA: Lindsey Graham (R) 49%, Brad Hutto (D) 30%
SOUTH DAKOTA: Mike Rounds (R) 44%, Rick Weiland (D) 29%, Larry Pressler (RINO) 18% (GOP pickup)
TEXAS: John Cornyn (R) 47%, David Alameel (D) 29%
TENNESSEE: Lamar Alexander (R) 47%, Gordon Ball (D) 32%
WEST VIRGINIA: Shelly Moore Capito (R) 50%, Natalie Tennant (D) 39% (GOP pickup)
WYOMING: Mike Enzi (R) 63%, Charlie Hardy (D) 27%
SOLID REPUBLICAN
ALASKA: Dan Sullivan (R) 48%, Mark Begich (D) 43% (GOP pickup)
ARKANSAS: Tom Cotton (R) 47%, Mark Pryor (D) 40% (GOP pickup)
GEORGIA: David Perdue (R) 46%, Michelle Nunn (D) 40%
KENTUCKY: Mitch McConnell (R) 46%, Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 41%
LEANING REPUBLICAN
LOUISIANA: Bill Cassidy (R) 44%, Mary Landrieu (D) 41% (GOP pickup)
TOSS-UP
IOWA: Bruce Braley (D) 43%, Joni Ernst (R) 43%
LEANING DEMOCRAT
COLORADO: Mark Udall (D) 44%, Cory Gardner (R) 42%
MICHIGAN: Gary Peters (D) 41%, Terri Lynn Land (R) 39%
SOLID DEMOCRAT
KANSAS: Greg Orman ("Independent") 45%, Pat Roberts (R) 40% (Dem pickup)
MINNESOTA: Al Franken (D) 50%, Mike McFadden (R) 42%
NEW HAMPSHIRE: Jeanne Shaheen (D) 48%, Scott Brown (R) 42%
NORTH CAROLINA: Kay Hagen (D) 45%, Tom Tillis (R) 39%
SAFE DEMOCRAT
DELAWARE: Chris Coons (D) 49%, Kevin Wade (R) 34%
HAWAII: Brian Schatz (D) 60%, Cam Cavasso (R) 28%
ILLINOIS: Ali Dickbar al-Durbini (D) 48%, Jim Oberweis (R) 38%
MASSACHUSETTS: Ed Markey (D) 49%, Brian Herr (R) 31%
NEW JERSEY: Corey Booker (D) 48%, Jeff Bell (R) 35%
NEW MEXICO: Tom Udall (D) 52%, Allen Weh (R) 39%
OREGON: Jeff Merkley (D) 48%, Monica Wehby (R) 35%
RHODE ISLAND: Jack Reed (D) 61%, Mark Zaccaria (R) 26%
VIRGINIA: Mark Warner (D) 53%, Ed Gillespie (R) 36%
HIGH: GOP picks up Montana, South Dakota, West Virginia, Alaska, Louisiana, Iowa, Arkansas, Colorado and Michigan, but loses Kansas, for a net gain of eight seats and a 53-47 majority in the next U.S. Senate.
MEDIAN: GOP picks up Arkansas, Montana, South Dakota, West Virginia, Alaska, Louisiana, and maybe Iowa, but loses Kansas, for a gain of five or six seats and either a 51-49 majority or a 50-50 split in the next U.S. Senate.
LOW: GOP picks up Alaska, Arkansas, Montana, South Dakota, and West Virginia, but the Democrats pick up Kansas, for a net GOP gain of two seats, leaving the Democrats to retain a 51-49 majority in the next U.S. Senate.
No new Rasmussen polling in the competitive Senate races this week, though I did correct an error in the high-end election forecast above.
30 days to go (ebola pandemic permitting)....
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