Not - that we know of - including nuclear warheads, but orders of magnitude above what the Hezbos possessed the last time they attacked Israel nine years ago:
Iran is placing guided warheads on its rockets and smuggling them to Hezbollah in Lebanon, a senior Defense Ministry official said Tuesday.
Speaking at the Israel Air and Missile Defense Conference in Herzliya, Colonel Aviram Hasson, who is involved in preparing IDF air defenses, said Iran was converting Zilzal unguided rockets into accurate, guided M-600 projectiles by upgrading their warheads.
Hasson, who is in charge of upper-tier missile defenses at HOMA – part of the Defense Ministry’s Administration for the Development of Weapons and Technological Infrastructure – described Iran as a “train engine that is not stopping for a moment. It is manufacturing new and advanced ballistic missiles and cruise missiles. It is turning unguided rockets that had an accuracy range of kilometers into weapons that are accurate to within meters.”
Hezbollah, he continued, “is getting a lot of accurate weapons from Iran. It is in a very different place compared to the Second Lebanon War in 2006.” [emphases added]
One thing to bear in mind above all else about Hezbollah and Hamas: They are not the primary Israeli enemy. Iran is. Iran controls, arms, and uses both as distractions and as means of tying the IDF down "at home" and thus preventing them from focusing on the Iranians themselves. There is also the public relations dimension - we saw it again last summer with Operation Protective Edge - of "big, bad" Israel "beating up on" poor, little Hamas in Gaza. And whenever the Israelis have to "degrade" the Hezbo's arsenal, they have to invade Lebanon to do it, and that ignites even more ignorant, anti-Semitic international outrage.
I can easily see a scenario in which, much like in 2006, Hamas starts up hostilities yet again, and when the IDF is fully engaged in Gaza, Hezbollah opens up a second front with their precision M-600 munitions all over Israeli territory, and when their prey is overrunning Gaza and Lebanon once and for all, and the "international community" is in full-throated "Final Solution" mode, the mullahs will issue Prime Minister Netanyahu an ultimatum: Unconditionally withdraw immediately, not just from Gaza and Lebanon, but also from the West Bank, and accept the "two-state solution," or Haifa, Tel Aviv, and Beersheeba will be incinerated.
Or maybe they'll just go ahead and do it without warning, all the better to preempt an Israeli preemptive nuclear strike.
If, as I suspect, Tehran already has a substantial nuclear arsenal, this would be all too plausible an outcome.
If the mullahs are still short of strategic nuclear capability, they can count on Barack Obama to militarily intervene against Israel. After all, that's what allies are for.
UPDATE: I wish this was a reason why another Iranian nuclear "deal" "deadline" has come and gone:
The commander of the Basij militia of Iran's Revolutionary Guards said in an interview that "erasing Israel off the map" is "nonnegotiable," the Times of Israel reported. [emphasis added]
An irrelevancy to the Obama White House, I realize, but still.....
Exit thought: O offers the mullahs more than they asked for, and they still won't take it, even though they make no secret of their intention to blanketly cheat on any agreement regardless. Anybody care to speculate on how insane the White House concessions will get from here? Transferring the remaining U.S. nuclear arsenal to Tehran? Providing the mullahs with an Obama-approved list of U.S. cities to nuke? I'd suggest nationally imposing Sharia, but that's already happening.
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