Tuesday, January 12, 2016

Hillary Clinton Fading In Iowa, Collapsing In New Hampshire

by JASmius

For three years, ever since she left the State Commissariat to prepare and eventually launch the repeat coronational processional that we all knew she would, we on this site have been stoutly and resolutely insisting that Hillary Clinton will not be the Democrat presidential nominee in 2016, just as she wasn't in 2008 and will never be ever in the remaining history of the cosmos until it suffers final heat death trillions of years from now.

I believed that Elizabeth Warren would submarine her just as Barack Obama did eight years ago.  When Fauxcahontas declined to run, it looked like that prediction was going to fizzle, but I just bided my time and waited to see what would happen, confident in the Empress's ability to spoil a political wet dream.  Which it was ostensibly looking like 2016 would be, especially after Joe Biden declined to run as well.  With Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders her only rival for the Donk nomination, the conventional wisdom conceded that prize to her before a single vote had been cast.

Once again, they'd be well-advised to rethink that premature conclusion:

Democrat presidential candidate Bernie Sanders on Tuesday received the endorsement of MoveOn.org, a grassroots organization that has been at the forefront of liberal causes.

MoveOn says the Vermont senator was supported by 78.6% of its membership in an online vote of more than 340,000 members. Hillary Clinton received 14.6% and Martin O'Malley received 0.9% with the remaining members urging no endorsement.

I've been saying for years that the Nutroots loathe Mrs. Clinton, neither believe in or trust her, and passionately want anybody else.  Elizabeth Warren would have been their goddess, but Weekend Bernie is proving to be a more than acceptable crazy old uncle substitute:

93%-3% .  Sweet, merciful crap.  Is that even possible?  It's almost unanimous.  Hillary's honest/trustworthy numbers among Democrats are comparatively paltry 66%-29%.

96%-1%.  This is even more astounding.  The Ugly Dutchess's numbers?  76%-21%, again twenty-plus points behind Mr. Socialist.

How about overall favorable/unfavorable numbers?  Same story:

90%-6%.  A seventeen point blowout.  Sanders' dominance is not an isolated blip on the metaphorical sensor screen.  Do we even need to look at the passion index?

Hillary 74%-25%, Sanders 90%-8%.  It's not even remotely close.  The Donk grassroots feel the Bern, and see voting for the old harridan as a castor oil-esque obligation akin to going to the dentist or eating their broccoli.  Give them an authentic, genuine alternative they can get behind and believe in and they'll drop her like her husband's diseased member.  Even a crazy, wild-eyed, corrupt old bastard like Weekend Bernie.

Which brings us to the latest head-to-head polls in New Hampshire....

Fifty-three percent of these voters choose Sanders, compared to 39% for [Mrs.] Clinton. And the new poll shows that [Mrs.] Clinton has also lost her edge over Sanders among registered Democrats, women and older voters. Sanders has now surpassed her with these voters, while holding onto his lead among registered independents, men and younger voters.

....and Iowa:

With just twenty days remaining until the first-in-the-nation caucus, a Quinnipiac University poll released today shows Sanders leading [Mrs.] Clinton for the first time in the Hawkeye State with 49% support -- his highest support in any Iowa poll yet. [Mrs.] Clinton garnered 44% support.

That's a nine percentage point increase for Sanders and a seven-point drop for [Mrs.] Clinton since the last Quinnipiac poll in Iowa almost one month ago.

Or a sixteen-point swing in a matter of weeks.  That is called momentum, and right now it's all going against her majesty, and for the same reasons as we have been giving y'all all along: Hillary Clinton is a terrible candidate, unlikeable, insufferable, arrogant, abrasive, off-putting, imperious, phony, untrustworthy, incompetently dishonest, and by this time, a retread loser that everybody wishes would just go the hell away.  Eight years ago she could rationalize her defeat by consoling herself that Barack Obama was lightning in a bottle, that she was in the wrong place at the wrong time, and the submarining he administered to her was a fluke that could never happen again.

Now she's losing to a crazy, wild-eyed, corrupt old avowed socialist white guy that got into the race for the hell of it, never imagining that he'd actually be the frontrunner.  Because the first time wasn't a fluke; it was a message.  A warning, even.  One that she did not heed, to her burgeoning peril and humiliation.

Which is just as well for Her Nib, because between her health problems and her upcoming legal defense, it's going to be all she can handle to just stay out of the prison infirmary.

Exit question: Odds on "Ready For Hillary!" 2020?  No bets here, pal.

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