Maybe Barack Obama's ObamaCare enrollment April Fool's joke will have an impact, maybe it won't. But right now, the GOP's prospects are looking better and better:
Republicans lead in seven Michigan
Land (R) 40
Peters (D) 38
(Open seat; Carl Levin retired; amazing run for a Republican in deeply blue state)
North Carolina
Tillis (R) 46*
Hagan (D) 45
(Tillis leads in tough primary; Hagan well under 50% of the vote)
Alaska
Treadwell (R) 47*
Begich (D) 43
(Treadwell faces tough primary but Begish is way behind and further under 50%)
Montana
Daines (R) 51
Walsh (D) 37
(Open seat; it's over)
Louisiana
Cassidy (R) 46
Landrieu (D) 42
(Landrieu way under 50%)
South Dakota
Rounds (R) 51
Weiland (D) 31
(Open seat; it's over)
West Virginia
Capito (R) 49
Tennant (D) 35
(Open seat; it's over)
Republican tied in one
Arkansas
Cotton (R) 46
Pryor (D) 46
(Pryor is under 50%)
Republican close in three
Iowa
Jacobs (R) 38*
Braley (D) 41
(Open seat; Jacobs still faces tough primary, but possible pickup)
Colorado
Gardner (R) 40
Udall (D) 42
(Udall way under 50%)
Minnesota
Ortman (R) 41*
Franken (D) 44
(Franken way under 50%)
That's a GOP pickup of seven seats; I'd include Arkansas in that category because Mark Pryor is a dead man walking in a state that "red," and I don't think Mitch McConnell is in any real trouble, or he wouldn't have gotten re-elected in the disastrous 2008 cycle. So that'd be an eight seat pickup with the possibility of three more. Sweet - but there's a loooooooong way to go.
Exit question: Would a 56-44 Republican Senate and 250+ Republicans in the House change the despotic, Obamacentric power realities in D.C.?
No comments:
Post a Comment