Two states - one "red," one "blue" - tighten this week.
(Incumbents in bold; all polling via Rasmussen Reports)
SAFE REPUBLICAN
ALABAMA: Jeff Sessions (R) - unopposed
IDAHO: James Risch (R) 54%, Nels Mitchell (D) 29%
MAINE: Susan Collins (R) 59%, Shenna Bellows (D) 31%
MISSISSIPPI: Thad Cochran (R) 48%, Travis Childers (D) 31%
MONTANA: Steve Daines (R) 55%, Amanda Curtis (D) 35% (GOP pickup)
NEBRASKA: Ben Sasse (R) 51%, David Domina (D) 34%
OKLAHOMA: James Inhofe (R) 58%, Matt Silverstein (D) 27%
SOUTH CAROLINA: Lindsey Graham (R) 49%, Brad Hutto (D) 30%
SOUTH DAKOTA: Mike Rounds (R) 44%, Rick Weiland (D) 29%, Larry Pressler (RINO) 18% (GOP pickup)
TEXAS: John Cornyn (R) 50%, David Alameel (D) 29%
TENNESSEE: Lamar Alexander (R) 47%, Gordon Ball (D) 32%
WEST VIRGINIA: Shelly Moore Capito (R) 50%, Natalie Tennant (D) 39% (GOP pickup)
WYOMING: Mike Enzi (R) 63%, Charlie Hardy (D) 27%
SOLID REPUBLICAN
ALASKA: Dan Sullivan (R) 48%, Mark Begich (D) 43% (GOP pickup)
ARKANSAS: Tom Cotton (R) 47%, Mark Pryor (D) 40% (GOP pickup)
KENTUCKY: Mitch McConnell (R) 46%, Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 41%
LEANING REPUBLICAN
GEORGIA: David Perdue (R) 46%, Michelle Nunn (D) 42%
LOUISIANA: Bill Cassidy (R) 44%, Mary Landrieu (D) 41% (GOP pickup)
TOSS-UP
IOWA: Bruce Braley (D) 43%, Joni Ernst (R) 43%
LEANING DEMOCRAT
COLORADO: Mark Udall (D) 44%, Cory Gardner (R) 42%
MICHIGAN: Gary Peters (D) 41%, Terri Lynn Land (R) 39%
NORTH CAROLINA: Kay Hagen (D) 48%, Tom Tillis (R) 46%
SOLID DEMOCRAT
KANSAS: Greg Orman ("Independent") 45%, Pat Roberts (R) 40% (Dem pickup)
MINNESOTA: Al Franken (D) 50%, Mike McFadden (R) 42%
NEW HAMPSHIRE: Jeanne Shaheen (D) 48%, Scott Brown (R) 42%
SAFE DEMOCRAT
DELAWARE: Chris Coons (D) 49%, Kevin Wade (R) 34%
HAWAII: Brian Schatz (D) 60%, Cam Cavasso (R) 28%
ILLINOIS: Ali Dickbar al-Durbini (D) 51%, Jim Oberweis (R) 37%
MASSACHUSETTS: Ed Markey (D) 49%, Brian Herr (R) 31%
NEW JERSEY: Corey Booker (D) 48%, Jeff Bell (R) 35%
NEW MEXICO: Tom Udall (D) 52%, Allen Weh (R) 39%
OREGON: Jeff Merkley (D) 48%, Monica Wehby (R) 35%
RHODE ISLAND: Jack Reed (D) 61%, Mark Zaccaria (R) 26%
VIRGINIA: Mark Warner (D) 53%, Ed Gillespie (R) 36%
HIGH: GOP picks up Montana, South Dakota, West Virginia, Alaska, Louisiana, Iowa, Arkansas, Colorado, Michigan, and North Carolina, but loses Kansas, for a net gain of nine seats and a 54-46 majority in the next U.S. Senate.
MEDIAN: GOP picks up Arkansas, Montana, South Dakota, West Virginia, Alaska, Louisiana, and maybe Iowa, but loses Kansas, for a gain of five or six seats and either a 51-49 majority or a 50-50 split in the next U.S. Senate.
LOW: GOP picks up Alaska, Arkansas, Montana, South Dakota, and West Virginia, but the Democrats pick up Georgia and Kansas, for a net GOP gain of three seats, leaving the Democrats to retain a 52-48 majority in the next U.S. Senate.
Eh. The Georgia race between Republican David Purdue and the vacuous progeny of the late Sam Nunn for the seat once held by her dear old dad has tightened a couple of points, but I'm not sweating it. Of greater significant interest is the fact that Thom Tillis, GOP Speaker of the North Carolina House of Representatives, has closed back to within two points of Donk incumbent Kay Hagen. If the Republicans are going to "run the table," this is one seat they pretty much have to win.
22 days (three weeks, for those of you in Malaga, Washington) to go, and the wire grows ever closer....
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