Colorado inches into the "red" column....
(Incumbents in bold; all polling via Rasmussen Reports)
SAFE REPUBLICAN
ALABAMA: Jeff Sessions (R) - unopposed
IDAHO: James Risch (R) 54%, Nels Mitchell (D) 29%
LOUISIANA: Bill Cassidy/Rob Maness (R) 52%, Mary Landrieu (D) 41% (GOP pickup)
MAINE: Susan Collins (R) 59%, Shenna Bellows (D) 31%
MISSISSIPPI: Thad Cochran (R) 48%, Travis Childers (D) 31%
MONTANA: Steve Daines (R) 55%, Amanda Curtis (D) 35% (GOP pickup)
NEBRASKA: Ben Sasse (R) 51%, David Domina (D) 34%
OKLAHOMA: James Inhofe (R) 58%, Matt Silverstein (D) 27%
SOUTH CAROLINA: Lindsey Graham (R) 49%, Brad Hutto (D) 30%
SOUTH DAKOTA: Mike Rounds (R) 44%, Rick Weiland (D) 29%, Larry Pressler (RINO) 18% (GOP pickup)
TEXAS: John Cornyn (R) 50%, David Alameel (D) 29%
TENNESSEE: Lamar Alexander (R) 47%, Gordon Ball (D) 32%
WEST VIRGINIA: Shelly Moore Capito (R) 50%, Natalie Tennant (D) 39% (GOP pickup)
WYOMING: Mike Enzi (R) 63%, Charlie Hardy (D) 27%
SOLID REPUBLICAN
ALASKA: Dan Sullivan (R) 48%, Mark Begich (D) 43% (GOP pickup)
KENTUCKY: Mitch McConnell (R) 52%, Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 44%
LEANING REPUBLICAN
ARKANSAS: Tom Cotton (R) 47%, Mark Pryor (D) 44% (GOP pickup)
COLORADO: Cory Gardner (R) 48%, Mark Udall (D) 47% (GOP pickup)
GEORGIA: David Perdue (R) 46%, Michelle Nunn (D) 42%
IOWA: Joni Ernst (R) 48%, Bruce Braley (D) 45% (GOP pickup)
LEANING DEMOCRAT
MICHIGAN: Gary Peters (D) 41%, Terri Lynn Land (R) 39%
NORTH CAROLINA: Kay Hagen (D) 48%, Tom Tillis (R) 46%
SOLID DEMOCRAT
KANSAS: Greg Orman ("Independent") 49%, Pat Roberts (R) 44% (Dem pickup)
MINNESOTA: Al Franken (D) 50%, Mike McFadden (R) 42%
NEW HAMPSHIRE: Jeanne Shaheen (D) 48%, Scott Brown (R) 42%
SAFE DEMOCRAT
DELAWARE: Chris Coons (D) 49%, Kevin Wade (R) 34%
HAWAII: Brian Schatz (D) 60%, Cam Cavasso (R) 28%
ILLINOIS: Ali Dickbar al-Durbini (D) 51%, Jim Oberweis (R) 37%
MASSACHUSETTS: Ed Markey (D) 49%, Brian Herr (R) 31%
NEW JERSEY: Corey Booker (D) 48%, Jeff Bell (R) 35%
NEW MEXICO: Tom Udall (D) 52%, Allen Weh (R) 39%
OREGON: Jeff Merkley (D) 48%, Monica Wehby (R) 35%
RHODE ISLAND: Jack Reed (D) 61%, Mark Zaccaria (R) 26%
VIRGINIA: Mark Warner (D) 53%, Ed Gillespie (R) 36%
HIGH: GOP picks up Montana, South Dakota, West Virginia, Alaska, Louisiana, Iowa, Arkansas, Colorado, Michigan, and North Carolina, but loses Kansas, for a net gain of nine seats and a 54-46 majority in the next U.S. Senate.
MEDIAN: GOP picks up Arkansas, Montana, South Dakota, West Virginia, Alaska, Louisiana, Iowa, and Colorado, but loses Kansas, for a gain of seven seats and a 52-48 majority in the next U.S. Senate.
LOW: GOP picks up Alaska, Louisiana, Montana, South Dakota, and West Virginia, but the Democrats pick up Georgia and Kansas, for a net GOP gain of three seats, leaving the Democrats to retain a 52-48 majority in the next U.S. Senate.
Mark Udall falls slightly behind Cory Gardener in Colorado, moving that State from "leaning Democrat" to "leaning Republican". However, Mark Pryor's regaining four points against Tom Cotton causes Arkansas to slip from "Solid Republican" to "Leaning Republican". So, in effect, the most likely outcome is an extra seat but the floor has fallen by a seat as well.
My final picks will come next week. I'll predict right now that you probably won't like them, and neither will I. But I'm not here to blow sunshine up anybody's backside. I'm the twenty-first century Jeremiah, and like Morpheus....
...."All I offer is the truth, nothing more."
No comments:
Post a Comment