Pollster Nate Silver Predicts: GOP Wins Senate

by JASmius

For years and years, Gallup was the only major pollster.  Then along came a Svengali named John Zogby in 1996 who predicted a much closer result in the Clinton-Dole presidential contest than any of the cheerleading major media outlets - and he was right.  After him came the redoubtable Scott Rasmussen, whose track record has lasted longer than just one election cycle.

Tragically, in 2012 the Left found their own polling guru, Nate Silver, who turned out to nail O's questionable victory as though he had inside information from Eric "The Red" Holder's gargantuan voter fraud organization operating more or less openly out of the Commissariat of Injustice & Revenge.  Whatever his sources, Silver is now gold in the polling biz.

And he now says the GOP picks up six Senate seats - and that's the floor:

The Republican Party will probably take back the Senate in November's midterm elections, election guru ESPN's Nate Silver says, helped by low approval ratings for President Barack Obama.

The former New York Times statistician, best known for accurately predicting the outcome of every state in the 2012 presidential election, gives the GOP a 60% chance of winning control of the chamber, and expects the party will pick up six seats, the exact number it needs to gain a one-vote majority.

What's more, Silver says the party has a 30% chance of winning big, possibly picking up as many as 11 seats....

Appearing Sunday on ABC's "This Week with George Stephanopoulos," Silver said the Democrat-held seats most likely to be picked up by Republicans this year are West Virginia, South Dakota, Montana, and Arkansas. 

Silver predicted another four Democrat seats could be a toss-up:  Louisiana, North Carolina, Alaska, and Michigan.

Who, of course, knows whether Silver just got lucky in the last cycle or will build a track record to match that of Scott Rasmussen?  But if a leftie pollster (I'd say "independent" leftie pollster but I don't think my typing fingers could keep a straight face throughout the necessary keystrokes) is conceding that the GOP will pick up at least six Senate seats, I think tsunami time just might have arrived.

 There's still plenty of time for the Republican circular firing squad to piss it all away, though.  A pity I have so much faith in them.